Sunday, October 16, 2016

Indices Performance Chart - 15 Oct 16

Most markets closed lower this week.

Instruments that show buying interest (3) from Dealer/Intermediary (sell-side participants)
UT

  • None
Neutral
  • None
DT
  • S&P
Note
(1) COT Index >= 90, Buying interest at extreme
(2) COT Index <= 10, Selling interest at extreme
(3) COT Index >= 70, rising COT Index, monitor for trend reversal
Down Trend and Up Trend is based on 50 Simple Moving Average 

US markets broke hlf in weekly chart, direction still unclear.  Most likely the direction will be clearer after US Presidential Election, 8 Nov 2016   US reporting season and news related to US Presidential Election will bring volatilities.



Dow
Daily DT, Weekly UT
Potential resistance around 18,189, TLU11, 18,367, 18,557, 18,669, TLU4
Potential support around TLD5, 17,829, 17,600, 17,271, TLD3, 17,083

S&P
Daily DT, Weekly UT
Potential resistance around 2,137, TLU5, TLU4, 2,161, 2,187, 2,285
Potential support around 2,129, 2,116, TLU5, 2,102, 2,081, TLD3, 2,061, 2,045

Nasdaq
Daily UT, Weekly UT
Potential resistance around 4,816, 4,896, TLU1, 5,538
Potential support around 4,722, 4,682, 4,640, 4,537

Russell
Daily Neutral, Weekly UT
Potential resistance around 1,213, 1,240, TLU5, 1,259(4), 1,274, 1,287
Potential support around TLU2, 1,185, 1,164, 1,137


Key event to watch out (SG Time)
17 Oct, Mon
  • 1700 EUR CPI (YoY) (Sep)
18 Oct, Tue
  • 0545 NZD CPI (QoQ) (Q3)
  • 0830 AUD RBA Meeting Minutes
  • 1630 GBP CPI (YoY) (Sep)
  • 2030 USD Core CPI (MoM) (Sep) 
19 Oct, Wed
  • 1000 CNY GDP (YoY) (Q3) 
  • 1000 CNY Industrial Production (YoY) (Sep)
  • 2030 USD Building Permits (Sep)
  • 2200 CAD BoC Monetary Policy Report 
  • 2200 CAD Interest Rate Decision 
  • 2230 USD Crude Oil Inventories 
20 Oct, Thu
  • 0830 AUD Employment Change (Sep) 
  • 1630 GBP Retail Sales (MoM) (Sep)
  • 1945 EUR Interest Rate Decision (Oct) 
  • 2030 USD Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (Oct) 
  • 2030 EUR ECB Press Conference
  • 2200 USD Existing Home Sales (Sep) 
21 Oct, Fri
  • 2030 CAD Core CPI (MoM) (Sep)
  • 2030 CAD Core Retail Sales (MoM) (Aug)


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