Sunday, June 26, 2016

Indices Performance Chart - 25 Jun 16

Most markets slammed down this week after Brexit vote to leave EU .

Instruments that show buying interest (3) from Dealer/Intermediary (sell-side participants)
UT
  • S&P (increased for 1st week)
Neutral
  • None
DT
  • None
Note
(1) COT Index >= 90, Buying interest at extreme
(2) COT Index <= 10, Selling interest at extreme
(3) COT Index >= 70, rising COT Index, monitor for trend reversal
Down Trend and Up Trend is based on 50 Simple Moving Average


US markets slammed down on Fri during vote counting demonstrate in favor of leaving EU and after the result is confirmed.  Outside day is formed on weekly chart and broke recent low (May's low).  Looking at COT raw data, both nos of long and short positions had decreased, the nos of long positions had decreased more than short positions.


Dow
Daily Neutral, Weekly DT
Potential resistance around TLD4, TLD3, 17,600, 17,829, TLD5, 18,189
Potential support around 17,271, 17,083, TLD2, 16,745, TLD1,  16,503

S&P
Daily Neutral, Weekly Neutral
Potential resistance around 2,028, 2,045, 2,061, 2,081, TLD3, 2,102, 2,116, TLU4, 2,129
Potential support around TLD5, 1,996, 1,973, TLU2, 1,930

Nasdaq
Daily Neutral, Weekly Neutral
Potential resistance around 4,271, TLU2, 4,347, TLD3, 4,537
Potential support around 4,193, 4,089, TLD5, TLD2, 3,956

Russell
Daily UT, Weekly DT
Potential resistance around 1,137, TLU5, 1,164, TLU2, 1,185, 1,213
Potential support around 1,114, TLD4, 1,082, 1,049, 1,009

Key event to watch out  (SG Time)
27 Jun, Mon
  • No important data
28 Jun, Tue
  • 2030 USD GDP (QoQ) (Q1)
  • 2200 USD CB Consumer Confidence (Jun)
29 Jun, Wed
  • 2200 USD Pending Home Sales (MoM) (May)
  • 2230 USD Crude Oil Inventories 
30 Jun, Thu
  • 1555 EUR German Unemployment Change (Jun)
  • 1630 GBP GDP (QoQ) (Q1)
  • 1630 GBP GDP (YoY) (Q1)
  • 1700 EUR CPI (YoY) (Jun)
  • 2030 CAD GDP (MoM) (Apr)
01 Jul, Fri
  • Hong Kong and Canda Holiday
  • 0750 JPY Tankan Large Manufacturers Index (Q2)
  • 0750 JPY Tankan Large Non-Manufacturers Index (Q2) 
  • 0900 CNY Manufacturing PMI (Jun) 
  • 0945 CNY Caixin Manufacturing PMI (Jun)
  • 1555 EUR German Manufacturing PMI (Jun) 
  • 1630 GBP Manufacturing PMI (Jun)
  • 2200 USD ISM Manufacturing PMI (Jun) 
  • 2030 USD Building Permits (May) 
  • 2030 CAD Core CPI (MoM) (May)

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